Methodology

Scope

This framework tracks market structure, liquidity health, concentration risk, and narrative velocity.

Evidence Standard

Each claim should include:

• Evidence: source id(s)
• Confidence: low/medium/high
• Last-Updated: YYYY-MM-DD

Falsifiability

Any scenario probability upgrade must be triggered by explicit thresholds defined in scenario_matrix.md.

Interpretation Protocol

This repository uses a structured interpretation policy documented in docs/analytical_framework.md:

• Fact layer is immutable.
• Interpretation layer is Bull-First by strategy.

• Conclusion layer must always include:

• Bull Entry Thesis

• Hold-Confidence Reinforcement
• Invalidation Line

Data Source Priority Policy (TRUMP)

To prevent silent source drift, the repository enforces this source order:

1. Primary: Binance (binance-web3, with TRUMPUSDT spot anchor)
2. Backup 1: OKX OnChainOS (okx-onchainos)
3. Backup 2: Bitget Wallet (bitget-wallet)

Implementation touchpoints:

• scripts/build_snapshot.py (snapshot fields and holder concentration source)
• scripts/generate_report.py (Primary/Backup sections in CIO report)
• docs/data_dictionary.md (source id definitions)